Mrr Growth With Churn
Calculator

Inputs

Ending MRR
$179,196.72

Results

Ending MRR
$179,196.72
Ending ARR
$2,150,360.62
Doubling month
12 mo
Steady-state MRR
$300,000.00

Projected path over the horizon

044,79989,598134,398179,19719.7518.527.336.0
  • MRR
  • Net new MRR

Period-by-period projection

155,000.001,500.00500.005,000.00
259,900.001,650.00550.004,900.00
364,702.001,797.00599.004,802.00
469,407.961,941.06647.024,705.96
574,019.802,082.24694.084,611.84
678,539.402,220.59740.204,519.60
782,968.622,356.18785.394,429.21
887,309.242,489.06829.694,340.63
991,563.062,619.28873.094,253.82
1095,731.802,746.89915.634,168.74
1199,817.162,871.95957.324,085.36
12103,820.822,994.51998.174,003.66
13107,744.403,114.621,038.213,923.58
14111,589.513,232.331,077.443,845.11
15115,357.723,347.691,115.903,768.21
16119,050.573,460.731,153.583,692.85
17122,669.563,571.521,190.513,618.99
18126,216.173,680.091,226.703,546.61
19129,691.843,786.491,262.163,475.68
20133,098.013,890.761,296.923,406.16
21136,436.053,992.941,330.983,338.04
22139,707.334,093.081,364.363,271.28
23142,913.184,191.221,397.073,205.85
24146,054.924,287.401,429.133,141.74
25149,133.824,381.651,460.553,078.90
26152,151.144,474.011,491.343,017.32
27155,108.124,564.531,521.512,956.98
28158,005.964,653.241,551.082,897.84
29160,845.844,740.181,580.062,839.88
30163,628.924,825.381,608.462,783.08
31166,356.344,908.871,636.292,727.42
32169,029.214,990.691,663.562,672.87
33171,648.635,070.881,690.292,619.42
34174,215.665,149.461,716.492,567.03
35176,731.345,226.471,742.162,515.69
36179,196.725,301.941,767.312,465.37

Comparison

ScenarioEnding MRREnding ARR
Doing nothing24,160.66289,927.88
Your scenario179,196.722,150,360.62

Formula

MRR_t = MRR_(t−1)·(1 − c + e) + new

= 179196.72

Note

Simplified model: this is the exact arithmetic of the stated recurrence applied to your inputs, with every rate held constant for the whole horizon. Real businesses see growth, churn, seasonality and costs move, and no projection accounts for competition, financing terms, tax or one-off events. Treat the crossing month as an order of magnitude, not a date, and check it against your own books before committing money.

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Frequently asked questions

What's the difference between gross MRR growth and net MRR growth here?+

Gross growth is new and expansion MRR added in a period, ignored churn entirely. Net MRR growth, which this calculator projects, subtracts churned and downgraded MRR from that gross figure, so it reflects what actually happens to your recurring revenue balance month over month.

Why does a churn rate that looks small still cap my long-term MRR?+

Churn compounds against your growth just like interest compounds for you: at a constant new-MRR addition and a fixed churn percentage, MRR converges toward an equilibrium level rather than growing forever, because losses scale with the base while additions stay flat. A 3% monthly churn rate against flat new sales will plateau your MRR, not just slow its growth.

Should I use logo churn or revenue churn in this calculator?+

Use revenue churn (dollars lost) rather than logo churn (customers lost), since MRR growth is a dollar figure and a calculator using customer-count churn will misstate the dollar impact whenever customers of different sizes churn. If your smallest customers churn most, logo churn overstates revenue damage; if your biggest accounts churn, it understates it.

How do I account for expansion revenue (upsells) separately from new customer MRR?+

Enter new-customer MRR and expansion MRR as separate additions if the calculator supports it, since they behave differently: expansion revenue usually has a much lower churn rate than new logos in their first year. Lumping them together with a single blended growth number hides that expansion is often your most durable growth lever.

What does it mean if my projected MRR curve flattens out instead of growing steadily?+

That flattening (an asymptote) happens when your churn rate and new-MRR addition rate reach a steady-state balance, meaning the MRR you're losing each month roughly equals the MRR you're adding. To keep growing past that point, you need to either add more new MRR per month, reduce the churn rate, or grow expansion revenue faster than churn.